---
title: "Eurovision 2026: Finland dominates predictions, Moldova has strong final chances"
url: https://radiomoldova.md/p/76252/eurovision-2026-finland-dominates-predictions-moldova-has-strong-final-chances
published: 2026-05-11T13:02:00Z
language: en
author: "Liubomir Guțu"
section: "Eurovision"
source: radiomoldova.md
---

# Eurovision 2026: Finland dominates predictions, Moldova has strong final chances

> Finland, Greece, and Denmark are the top favorites to win Eurovision 2026, according to international bookmakers. Romania is also in the Top 10. The Republic of Moldova has a 1% chance of winning, but bookmakers believe it has a good chance of qualifying for the grand final in Vienna.

![](https://storage.radiomoldova.md/images/5e236233-ac59-4b85-8d39-817dd6b61fca.jpg)

Finland, Greece, and Denmark are the top favorites to win Eurovision 2026, according to international bookmakers. Romania is also in the Top 10. The Republic of Moldova has a 1% chance of winning, but bookmakers believe it has a good chance of qualifying for the grand final in Vienna.

Finland holds a significant lead in the bookmakers' rankings with a 38% share. If Finland wins, it would mark the country's second victory in the last 20 years. The first win was achieved by the band Lordi with their song "Hard Rock Hallelujah."

[Video](https://www.youtube.com/embed/GS91CAAddZA)

Greece is currently in second place, with a 13% chance of victory. A win would mark Greece's second victory, following Helena Paparizou's win in 2005 with the song "My Number One."

[Video](https://www.youtube.com/embed/VlwIKCFYQyw)

Denmark ranks third, with a 10% probability of winning. It is one of the most experienced participants in the contest, having won the trophy three times: in 1963, 2000, and 2013.

[Video](https://www.youtube.com/embed/vKCsNbrt5yI)

The top ten also includes France, Australia, Israel, Malta, Romania, Italy, and Sweden.

![](https://storage.radiomoldova.md/images/d80014dc-9a53-406a-bf2f-f82e47de4640.jpg)

![](https://storage.radiomoldova.md/images/df24267b-f79e-43d2-9620-25ca2a3c629a.jpg)

**Moldova has an 89% chance of qualifying for the final of the competition**

Good news for the Republic of Moldova as it heads into the first semi-final. Bookmakers are giving Moldova an 89% chance of qualifying for the grand final, alongside the main favorites, Finland and Greece.

Satoshi will perform on May 12 in the first semi-final, where Moldova has that same 89% chance of qualifying.

However, bookmakers are more cautious regarding Moldova's chances in the grand final, assigning it only a 1% chance of victory.

![](https://storage.radiomoldova.md/images/a99ef74a-888d-4a71-b3b7-8492d65e2a26.jpg)

The song "Viva, Moldova" will open the first semi-final of Eurovision 2026 in Vienna.

[Video](https://www.youtube.com/embed/k340WWX6zHk)

***
The first semi-final of the music competition will be held on May 12, the second semi-final on May 14, and the grand final on May 16, all in Vienna. 

A total of 25 participants will perform in the final event.

All three shows will be broadcast live on Moldova 1, starting at 10:00 PM.