Moldova: No military threat, hybrid war looms
Despite not facing an immediate military threat from Russia, Moldova remains on high alert for potential hybrid warfare tactics in the wake of the ongoing war in Ukraine, as reported by Digi24.
NATO Deputy Secretary General Mircea Geoana recently expressed concerns about Russia's possible focus on Moldova, emphasising the country's vulnerability to disinformation, cyberattacks, and other forms of destabilisation efforts.
Military Threat Deemed Unlikely
Geoana's assessment acknowledges the failure of Russia's initial war plan in Ukraine, which included encircling the country through Transnistria, a breakaway region within Moldova. With Russia's resources stretched thin, a direct military attack on Moldova appears improbable at this stage.
Hybrid Warfare Concerns Remain High
However, Geoana warned against complacency, highlighting the dangers of hybrid warfare strategies. He pointed to the upcoming presidential elections in Moldova and the country's pro-European aspirations as potential targets for Russian interference.
"From the standpoint of a hybrid attack, of a full-blown hybrid war," Geoana stated, "Especially since the presidential elections in Moldova, where Maia Sandu is leading the pro-European path of our brothers across the Prut, is also a vital interest for Russia."
International Support for Moldova
Recognizing the potential threat, NATO and the EU have pledged their support to Moldova. This includes collaborative efforts to combat disinformation, strengthen cybersecurity, and bolster the country's overall resilience against hybrid warfare tactics.
Moldova's Uncertain Future
Despite the lack of an immediate military threat, the situation in Moldova remains fluid and uncertain. The upcoming presidential elections will be a crucial test of the country's resolve and its commitment to its pro-European path. The international community's continued support will be vital in helping Moldova navigate these challenging times and safeguard its stability and sovereignty.
Additional Points:
- Former CIA Director General David Petraeus also echoed concerns about Russia potentially targeting Moldova or the Baltic states if it achieves its objectives in Ukraine.
- The conflict in Ukraine has heightened tensions between Russia and the West, raising concerns about a wider regional escalation.
- Moldova's strategic location bordering Ukraine and its pro-Western aspirations make it a potential target for Russian geopolitical manoeuvres.
Translation by Iurie Tataru
