World fears "Three Wars" scenario in 2024
As the world grapples with ongoing disputes in Ukraine and Gaza, expert analyst Dan Alexe fears 2024 could witness an escalation to three wars. This possibility hinges on the complex interplay between global powers and the potential for conflicts to spill over beyond borders.
The intertwined threads of the current conflicts are highlighted by the analyst:
- Iran and Russia's alliance: Both nations stand to benefit from the Gaza conflict, with Iran aiming to leverage it to destabilise the region and disrupt ties between Israel and Saudi Arabia. Meanwhile, Russia's rapprochement with Hamas serves as a strategic counterpoint to its criticism of Western "double standards."
- European vulnerability: The potential return of Donald Trump to the US presidency throws further uncertainty into the mix. His past statements suggest a possible withdrawal from NATO and a weakened commitment to Ukraine, leaving Europe potentially isolated and forced to manage multiple crises alone.
- The "moment of truth" for Europe: If Europe chooses to stand by Ukraine even without US support, it would signify a crucial step towards strategic autonomy. However, internal political factions within Europe, particularly in France and Germany, still harbour some sympathy for Russia's position.
The potential conflict between China and Taiwan looms large as another flashpoint. Should it erupt, Europe, already strained by Ukraine and Gaza, could struggle to respond effectively.
Amidst these concerns, French President Emmanuel Macron's unwavering stance on Ukraine offers a glimmer of hope. His commitment to both Ukraine and its former Warsaw Pact allies highlights the importance of European unity in navigating this turbulent landscape.
Translation by Iurie Tataru
